Once Iraq settles down, invade Iran  
 

Iran, funded by China, Russia and of course France and Germany must be taken down
August 19 2005

Since the fall of the Shah in 1979 Iran has been a mortal danger to the West. Iran is a fascist Islamic theocracy that much like the old Soviet empire, is a globally destabilizing influence. Like Hussein’s Iraq, Iran is a rogue and terrorist supporting state. Like Hussein’s Iraq, the Iranians produce, trade and develop WMD and export such material and expertise to terrorist elements worldwide, and anyone who is willing to pay hard cash. Like Hussein’s Iraq, Iran is a fascist, repressive state that tortures and kills its own citizens. Like Hussein’s Iraq, Iran exports extremist Islamic views and anti-US, anti-Western sentiments wholly at odds with a modern civilized culture. Like Hussein’s Iraq, Iran is intent on destroying Israel, and waging jihad against Western interests. Like Hussein’s Iraq, Iran uses its oil resources, discovered, recovered, and processed by Western technologies and acumen, in political games of influence. Like Hussein’s Iraq, Iran is a corrupt kleptocracy, easily able to buy off international institutions, diplomats, ‘experts’, and politicians. Like Iraq, Iran needs to undergo a regime change. If not we will someday pay a high price for our lack of will.

If you want to stop fascist Islamic terror at its source, then remaking Afghanistan and Iraq, however painful it will be, is step number one. Step number two is regime-changing Iran. The Iranians according to various sources send about U$3 billion worldwide to fund various terror regimes, and organizations around the world. Iran has cemented illegal arms dealing and political – trade ties with France, Germany, Russia, Ukraine, China, and various fascist states in Africa. The elite kleptocracy that runs Iran has no regard for its own people, international norms nor certainly of US – Western concerns about the spread of Islamic fascism and rogue trading of WMD. Now Iran is on the verge, if it does not already have the capability, of launching nuclear warheads.

The nuclear threat of Iran is real. It is clear that the Iranians either already have nuclear weapons capability or are close to it. The International Atomic Energy Assoc. (IAEA) inspections in Iran in recent months have clearly detailed Iran's violations of the nuclear non-proliferation treaty (NPT). The IAEA report on these inspections, though it fails to accuse Tehran directly of violating the treaty, concludes that "some of the information [provided by Iran] was in contrast to that previously provided by Iran" to the IAEA. In normal English this means that Iran was lying about its nuclear programs and their intent.

The Europeans are as usual, trying to use multi-lateral discussions to remove the Iranian nuclear threat. As with the 12-year Iraqi embargo all such discussions with Iran will fail. Like the Iraqi’s the Iranians will play games and use the international discussions to issue their propaganda, deny wrong-doing, and castigate US-British imperialism to a waiting and often pliant world media. The Europeans want a permanent halt to Iran's uranium enrichment program and intrusive inspections and are offering Tehran co-operation on its civil nuclear program if it agrees. Such goals while laudable are not feasible with a fascist regime. This is especially true without the American-style threat of coercive action should engagement fail. The only positive from the EU approach has been that the world can now see that engagement is failing and sanctions, embargos and then military action are the only options left.

Iran proclaims innocence stating that one of the world’s richest oil nations needs nuclear power to generate domestic energy. Good try. The real aim of the Iranian nuclear program is nuclear weapons, not electric power. The main Iranian bases for nuclear power are located in Bushehr, Arak, and Natanz, all of which are clustered around Teheran in the centre of the country. These would be the main areas of engagement to destroy Iran’s nuclear capability. The Iranian’s unlike Hussein’s Iraq, do have a distribution capability that threatens the entire Middle East. Much of this distribution capability has been sold to Iran, contravening international agreements, by North Korea, France, Russia and China.

Iran’s Ballistic Missile Capabilities

Ballistic Missile System

Inventory

Range

Payload

CEP - circular error of probability

Possible Targets in the Region

Shehab-1
"Meteor"
(Scud-B variant)

200-300

300km

985kg

450m [metres]

U.S. bases in the Gulf:

  1. Ali Salem Airbase in Kuwait
  2. Camp Dawhah Army base in Kuwait
  3. al-Udeid Airbase and Army base in Qatar
  4. al-Seeb Airbase in Oman
  5. Various U.S. bases in Iraq

Shehab-2
(Scud-C variant)

100-150

500km

700kg

50m

Shehab-3
(Nodong variant)

25-100

1,300km

700kg

190m

Israeli cities & targets:

  1. Tel-Aviv
  2. Haifa
  3. Beir-Shiva
  4. Dimona


[Sources for above:
"Iran: Weapons of Mass Destruction Capabilities and Programs," CNS, 2004, ; "Iran Missile Capabilities Overview," Nuclear Threat Initiative.
"SCUD B Shahab-1," Federation of American Scientists, .
"Shihab-2," Federation of American Scientists, .
"Shahab-3/Zelzal-3," Federation of American Scientists, .]

A current theory is that a set of surgical strikes can eliminate Iran’s nuclear capability. But a surgical strike against the main nuclear producing areas of Iran is not that easy. For example if Israel were to decide to act alone and attack Iran's nuclear facilities, it would face a greater challenge than it did with Osirak in Iraq which it wiped out in 1981. Natanz, Bushehr, and Arak are much farther away from Israel than Osirak. These facilities are located hundreds of miles from each other, which makes them more difficult to attack simultaneously. Yiftah Shapir, an Israeli analyst, explains: "Israel's options to counter the threat are limited. A preemptive strike against Iran's missile or nuclear assets is problematic because the targets are too far away, too numerous and dispersed, and too well protected - some of them in deep underground installations." Furthermore, it is unlikely that Israel would receive permission from Turkey, Saudi Arabia, or Jordan to pass through their airspace en route to Iran. Limited strikes to stop nuclear production would be difficult, though not impossible.

It is far better of course to change the entire regime. A longer, bloodier process surely, but one that is ultimately necessary. Such a regime change would stop Iran’s current international sponsorship of terror. Even considering its nuclear threat this is perhaps an even graver problem. Iran funds and abets terror throughout the world. Iran’s international meddling is severe. The Iranians are directly implicated in the Palestinian intifada by supplying money and military hardware to Hamas, Hizbollah and the PLA. Iran is also trying to destabilize Iraq with money and weapons support for the terrorist insurgency. Iranian shipped military hardware has been found throughout Iraq, much of it sourced from other nations such as France and Russia. As well Iranian agents are thought to be responsible for various bombing attacks against Shia areas in Iraq, intending to rupture Shia-Sunni relations and start a civil war.

Terrorist financing, support and illegal arms proliferation including WMD and nuclear capability is the biggest threat the West faces. Whether WMD and nuclear material falls into the hands of terrorists or are used by rogue regimes to attack Western cities, bases or assets, the threat is obvious. States such as Russia, France, China, and Iran are the main suppliers of illegal arms around the globe. Investigators such as Bill Gertz of the Washington Times have done heroic work in documenting this dangerous trade. Gertz in numerous books and articles makes it clear that these 4 states along with Pakistan, Libya and until recently Iraq, were the great traders in illegal arms, WMD and nuclear technologies and materials. All except Iran have signed various international agreements limiting the transfer and sale of these restricted items. So much for the good will of international agreements.

If you want to destroy fascist terrorism then Iran is the next stop after Iraq. As with Iraq international talks and stratagems will fail. Then the US will have to make a choice on whether to invade. We will then witness the soft nations, and their associated leftist pinheads organizing anti-war protests and no blood for oil buttons. They will of course ignore Iranian government death squads that murder their own citizens or the thousands of innocents destroyed by Iranian terrorist support. But stupidity and hypocrisy are the prices of being a pinhead.

Some reading on Iran:
http://www.nti.org/e_research/profiles...
http://washingtontimes.com/national/...
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article...
http://cns.miis.edu/pubs/week/040812.htm

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