French    German    Spain    Italian    Arabic    Chinese Simplified    Russian

Western Civilisation

Until the advent of materialism and 19th c. dogma, Western Civilisation was  superior to anything Islam had developed.  Islam has not aided in the development of the modern world; in fact civilisation has only been created in spite of Islam.  Proof of this resides in the 'modern' world and the unending political-economic and spiritual poverty of Muslim states and regions.  Squatting on richer civilisations is not 'progress'.  Islam is pagan, totalitarian, and irrational.   

Back     Printer Friendly Version  

Sunday, May 13, 2007

Bookmark and Share

Iraq and Afghanistan in the longue duree of history

Blair got only 1 thing right – the war against fascism. Bush still baffles.

by Ferdinand III

In the long view of history, one can observe that there are three essentials when fighting a war to win. First, identify the enemy and why it is necessary to fight them. Second, clearly lay out a plan to achieve victory, including reasonable time frames, and an honest assessment of what it will take to win. Third, repeat one and two incessantly on the domestic political front with formal and informal updates so the citizenry knows what is going on. None of these 3 principles of political leadership has been enacted in the long war with Islam.

These 3 principles are as old as the empires of man. In a world of modern communications they are mandatory. In the wireless or radio age, Churchill’s ‘I have nothing to offer but blood, toil, tears and sweat…’ speech during the nadir of the war against Hitler, was honest, brutal and it galvanized the listening mass of Britain to steel themselves for a war of long duration and sacrifice.

Indeed all of Churchill’s speeches showed similar brilliance in oratory and information dissemination. The enemy, the goals, the time lines, the good and the bad, and the dread balance of fate were offered to the British with almost unctuous veracity. As erudite oratory they have no historical equal. As valid appraisals of a long war, they have no peer.

It is well known that Bush has read Churchill’s speeches. Yet miraculously from the beginning 2005 he has basically stopped briefing the nation on Iraq. The most important US political and military project since 1991 lies undefended by its main architect.

The Iraq war has highlighted problems with US political leadership and its military. First the US political class, from both parties it should be pointed out, relied on the WMD argument to invade Iraq. It would have done better to highlight the full 23 reasons for going to war, including the Iraqi disregard for 16 UN resolutions, attacking US and British planes and assets during the 1990s, and the breaking of the cease fire treaty of 1991. To the list of 23 congressional reasons to go to war the moral arguments to free the Iraqi people, and stop the pilfering of the $60 billion UN Oil for food scandal – the largest financial scam in history, could have been added.

The US military in Iraq is the most effective fighting force on the planet, and probably the most efficient in the history of man. But they are undermanned and under-funded. The US military has 1 million men, of which only 500.000 can engage in battle. Its military spend is 3.5% of GDP. It should be closer to 5%. The US needs an effective fighting force of about one million men, to avoid battle fatigue, ensure enough time for proper training, and to have enough troops to do the different things a modern army must do including special ops, counter-terrorism ops, and urban fighting. The US is simply unprepared to fight a long war against Islam.

Why then should the US be in Iraq and why are the Canadians, Brits and Americans in Afghanistan? There are 3 replies to this good question and they have nothing to do with WMD. Iraqis knew how to make WMD, they never had the distribution capability to use it [personally I believe that Syria has the latest Iraq stocks, created post-1993 of WMD].

First, Iraq is the starting point to roll back Islamic terror. The Western media and political class won’t name the enemy, but the foe is Islam and Islamic inspired terror. Iraq is the greatest geopolitical asset the West can control. By controlling Iraq you have leverage over Syria, Saudi Arabia and Iran. You ensure that oil flows through the straits of Hormuz. Combined with the Afghani occupation we have future bases to launch further strikes into the Islamic heart of darkness.

Second, Iraq was an unstable, terror funding regime, which started 2 regional wars in part to control oil and clear its national debts. Al Qaeda groups including Al Ansar were in Iraq during the 1990s. Funding of Palestinian suicide bombers was a national policy. Terror regimes have to be brought down. Iraq which broke the 1991 cease fire agreement was the first in line to disappear.

Third, in the long view of history, ‘realism’ has proven itself ineffective. Realism works when it is combined with a clear vision and with processes that we control. Without controlling key processes, realism descends into chaos and reactionary policy. Former US ‘realpolitick’ in the region meant that any corrupt bastard who was our enemy’s enemy was our friend. This is morbidly inappropriate. We need to understand that the marriage between idealism and power is the only way to structure the Middle East in the long term view of history.

Realism ‘sans une autre chose’ has historically never proven itself as an intelligent way to construct national foreign policy. Foreign affairs are premised on protecting national self-interest, an idea which is founded on controlling key aspects of the area or region in question and which must be combined with a moral, societal mission. It is this lethal combination of realism and moral guidance that leads to victory. However if you don’t control key processes, including economics, trade, the military or the political situation, then your ‘realist’ approach is nothing more than Jimmy Carter-like stupidity and confusion.

In 1979 the Carter administration permitted the Shah of Iran to fall with the realist intonation that ‘there is realistically nothing we can do about it’. This is the classic example of realism leading to tragedy and future bloodshed. By not making the case to defend the Shah; enact further democratization of Iran; improve Iranian liberal institutional development; support an ally against Soviet Russia; and fund a stable regime that kept the straits of Hormuz open; the Carter administration reacted with a realist response that lead directly into the current war on Islamic terror. It is naught for nothing that Jimmy Carter is the worse US president in history.

The British leaving Iraq in 1932 is another example of ‘realist’ policy with execrable long term ramifications, but convenient short term political gain. The British controlled Iraq post World War one. Like the Americans today they tried to hold the country with too few troops, not enough ruthless military campaigning and without showing the Arabs blood, steel and over awing power. By 1926 the British had made plans to leave even as they signed a 50 year alliance with their Iraqi puppet government.

Domestically it was great politics – bring the boys home, let the Arabs kill themselves, save our treasure! But of course in the long view it was a disaster. Upon the British exist there was a military coup, the fragile British supported government fell, bloodshed ensured and 40 years later there was the inevitable mutation to the Hussein dictatorship. Such is the long term price of short term political opportunism.

The same was true of the US decision in 1991 not to liberate Iraq from Hussein. One million dead innocents, a huge UN financial scam, and a cold and hot war later we are doing the work that could have been more easily accomplished 16 years ago. Great domestic politics, brutal long term effects.

National self interest and foreign policy setting, must include ideas like; prestige, power, and supporting real allies, not just funding the local butcher of the month, who wants a hand out and says nice things to you about your supposed enemy. This is not how great civilizations and worthy first rate powers act.

Tony Blair and George Bush for all their flaws did get the big issue of our time right – the need to fight Islam in its heartland combining military power with the vision of liberal democracy and peace through liberal constitutions. Arabs if they so choose can partake in modernity. It will take longer for the Arab mind and culture to conform to a Western export of a constitutionally based society with the separation of church and state, and the protection of property, rights and the rule of law. It might take generations. But there is no choice.

Islam will need to be changed from without. It will not be changed from within. For 1400 years its leadership has called for a world-wide caliphate. It is time to put that lie to the grave. But we need to fight wars to win, not to score political points.

The 3 key principles that great leaders commit to during times of war and stress are nowhere to be found in the Western world – make the case honestly, inform transparently and update regularly. Instead it is the domestic posturing of low politics – buying of votes, compassion, tears for the camera, loving support of the multi-cult, undying devotion to Goddess Gaia etc. – that preoccupies the time of leaders. Once in a while they put in a sound-bite or a quick happy talk when dealing with the most important issue of this generation.

Great powers and civilizations present in times of war, a coherent and intelligent rationale as to why we are ‘over there’. It is astounding that no one amongst the political elite has the courage or the conviction to do it. It is a sad commentary on Western state of affairs. We are a civilization that is afraid and unable to accept the fact that realism combined with idealism and controlling key processes, informs the longue-duree or long term outcome of history and foreign policy. Such is the price we pay for our current mindless fascination with post-modern nonsense.

Article Comments:

Related Articles:

Conflicts in Arab/Moslem states

5/9/2022:  Muslim Fulani murdering Christians in Nigeria. But never say the M-word....

3/28/2022:  Nigeria: The Muslim Fulani Jihad continues unabated and uncondemned

8/22/2021:  Muslim Taliban and the eradication of Christianity in Afghanistan

5/15/2021:  The Iraq war and the long-term destruction of Christianity in Iraq

10/21/2020:  Muslims slaughtering Black Christians in Nigeria in a 200 year old Jihad.

9/3/2020:  Black Nigerian Christian Lives Don't Matter

8/7/2020:  Moslem Fascism is imploding. But why import it?

7/4/2020:  European Bishops condemn the slaughter of Black Christian Nigerians

6/15/2020:  Black Christian Lives Don't Matter

3/10/2020:  Turkey sends an army against Greece: EU, NATO, UN, all the big brains have a collective yawn

3/3/2020:  Catholic Church blames Israel for the 'Wall' and Christian persecution and poverty....

12/24/2019:  Christianity soon to disappear from its birthplace - thanks to Moslems

7/14/2016:  The US financing 'moderate' Moslem groups in the ME to wipe out non Moslems

5/25/2015:  Moslems target Christianity for destruction. Multi-culti cult blames the victim.

4/9/2015:  ISIS will implode like all failed Fascisms

12/18/2014:  Taliban Fascists murder 120 children or 'Munafiqun' of Pakistan's elite

11/6/2014:  Moslems in Iraq selling Yezidi and Christian girls, under 10, for up $170 each, as sex slaves

10/23/2014:  700 slaughtered in Syria because they opposed ISIS

10/17/2014:  The Yezidi Genocide. It parallels the Moslem faith genocide against Christianity

9/26/2014:  ISIS is Islam. ISIS compared to Mein Koran.....

9/12/2014:  ISIS is implementing Islam and Koranic barbarism.

8/28/2014:  ISIS is Islam. Islam is ISIS. A simple equation.

8/22/2014:  Western Media dis-information, dissociating ISIS from Islam

8/14/2014:  Moslem Caliphate: 'Chasing a Mirage', or Chasing the Koran's commandments ?

7/23/2014:  Gaza - another failed Arab/Moslem 'state' of violence and barbarism

7/14/2014:  Shades of Moslem Fascist green

6/24/2014:  Stating the obvious: Obama is not a friend of Western Civilization

6/17/2014:  'Extremist' Koran-quoting ISIS declaims that Islam will conquer Rome and Spain

6/16/2014:  ISIS wiping out Christians in Iraq

6/16/2014:  Sunni ISIS, just murdering less earnest cult members + Christians as the Koran commands

6/14/2014:  ISIS - simply an expression of Muhammadanism and Mein Koran

3/17/2014:  Our weakness inspires not only Islam, but Russia

7/5/2013:  Culture is King which is why Egypt is, and always will be, a failure.

11/19/2012:  Hate in Gaza: It is the Koran stupid.

9/15/2012:  Arab Spring to the Moslem Winter – Acts of War

7/20/2012:  The Moslem Winter of 2012: Cultural relativity and unreality.

11/11/2011:  Remembering Courage and Sacrifice against Totalitarianism

8/23/2011:  Libya and the Arab summer of discontent

6/6/2011:  Bosnian Muslims and 'War Crimes'

5/29/2011:  G8 will fund whom exactly and why? $160 billion?

5/19/2011:  Israel's pre-1967 borders? Why not 980 BC?

3/27/2011:  Feisel the Moderate Arab-Muslim leader. One not seen today.

3/16/2011:  Democracy in Greater Arabia and Islam?

2/27/2011:  Arab Fascist intolerance. Hamas, Hizbollah, Palestinian Jihad....

2/26/2011:  Libya burns, Gaddafi threatens ruin and hell, and the UN fiddles

2/15/2011:  The Bush Doctrine and Walid Phares

2/6/2011:  Egypt 2011 has nothing in common with Iran 1979, or Russia 1917.

2/4/2011:  Anti-Semiticism is a hallmark of a deformed and corrupted political-economy.

2/2/2011:  Culturally attenuated secularism and plurality can succeed in the Arab world.

1/30/2011:  Antipodal clashes within the Arab world.

1/30/2011:  History's great opportunity in the Arab Middle East

6/2/2010:  The Arab Jihad against Israel.

4/24/2010:  Why we are in Iraq and Af-crap-istan

10/4/2009:  Salim Mansur: 'The Sickness of the Arab world.'

9/21/2009:  Why the war in Afghanistan is necessary.

9/11/2009:  9-11 and its lessons – lost on 'liberals' and the sophisticates.

9/6/2009:  Dr. Wafa Sultan - An Arab woman's look at Islam and 'Reform'

8/10/2009:  The Arab death cult – hating Jews for loving life

6/30/2009:  The Prophet wrong again – on Iraq this time.

6/25/2009:  “How should we eat the flesh of American soldiers ?”

6/19/2009:  The Bush Doctrine is working. Iran is a prime example.

6/2/2009:  One-third of the Arab world is illiterate.

4/15/2009:  Somalia – another failed Islamic state.

1/7/2009:  Arab culture gave us the Koran and Gaza.

12/12/2008:  Arab imperialism and the Koran.

12/1/2008:  The Iraq War is won.

7/20/2008:  Arab imperialism – a story of state centralisation.

6/13/2008:  The Iraq war is won.

5/28/2008:  Kid Dynomite and giving in to Muslim imperialism

4/10/2008:  One of the most important and cheapest wars in history.

4/7/2008:  The Iraq war is cheap.

3/21/2008:  The War on Islamic Terror has been going on since 1968

2/28/2008:  Turkey is becoming an obnoxious problem.

1/22/2008:  Iraq and Iran – another example of weakness leading to more violence.

1/10/2008:  Hating the War in Iraq

12/29/2007:  Bhutto's death could be a positive.

12/20/2007:  Dumb and dangerous intelligence on Iran

12/9/2007:  Palestinians a.ka. Arabs, praise Hitler [yet again]

11/24/2007:  The Bush Doctrine works

10/18/2007:  Turkey is not our friend, nor ally.

9/27/2007:  'The Crisis of Islam', Bernard Lewis. A Review.

9/14/2007:  Iraq will be a future South Korea

9/12/2007:  We are slowly winning in Iraq? Surely not, we need to lose wars not win them!

9/11/2007:  9-11: Just another day! Don’t offend the multi-cult club by ascribing significance to it!

8/30/2007:  Military Power Comes First

8/29/2007:  Free Islam with Economics

8/28/2007:  Iraq - what is the alternative but to stay?

6/12/2007:  The Long War: this is not a struggle against ‘terror’ but a war for and with, Islam.

6/7/2007:  Still believe that the war is unnecessary?

5/13/2007:  Iraq and Afghanistan in the longue duree of history

4/30/2007:  US Domestic political posturing over Iraq

4/20/2007:  Iraq is truly an evil place, but we cannot abandon the Middle East

4/5/2007:  Sorry but Iraq is not a mess.

4/1/2007:  Jews are the victims, not the Arabs

2/21/2007:  Running away from Iraq is easy. Dealing with the consequences is not.

2/6/2007:  The poverty of Arab culture informs Islam

1/14/2007:  War and mindless happy talk

1/9/2007:  In Iraq Bush has the urge to surge – 3 years too late

1/8/2007:  Hussein's death reflects the Arab and Islamic world

1/2/2007:  Muslims outraged by Hussein’s death! But not by the 1-2 million he murdered!

12/31/2006:  Killing Hussein is another important step in Iraq

12/19/2006:  The Iraq Survey Group Nonsense

12/15/2006:  Why we need to fight in Iraq and Afghanistan

11/29/2006:  Fighting to lose: how not to fight fascism

11/15/2006:  Conservative cowards renounce Iraq and the war for our future

11/12/2006:  How to win in Iraq

10/23/2006:  Iraq is not Vietnam, nor is it a quagmire

10/14/2006:  600.000 dead civilians in Iraq ? You don’t say. Why not 6 million ?

10/12/2006:  A sober and positive look at Iraq

10/11/2006:  In defense of the Iraqi war

9/27/2006:  Pre-war Iran now imitates pre-war Iraq

8/14/2006:  Socialists and Internationalists ensure a defeat in Lebanon

8/13/2006:  Anti-reality Socialism saps our strength to wage war

8/5/2006:  The root causes of Islamic terror are the ideology and oil profits

7/29/2006:  Pre-emption is valid when fighting Fascism

7/21/2006:  WMD and Iraq ? The answer lies in Syria

7/15/2006:  Invade Lebanon and Palestine

7/14/2006:  Let the War for the Middle East expand

6/22/2006:  Bring on Neo-Imperialism: More Federal Tax money should be given to our military and our security

6/3/2006:  Iran today and the Barbary coast of the 19th century

5/23/2006:  Iran: the fascist menace which must be destroyed through war

5/6/2006:  We need to stay in Iraq, and Afghanistan for a very long time

4/21/2006:  Armchair critics and geniuses march against the Iraq war!

4/17/2006:  A brief history of Iraqi violence – the death rate today is lower than at anytime since 1932

4/15/2006:  Iraq and Bush League analysis: the media keeps up its incessant war against the Iraqi operation

3/24/2006:  Doing nothing in the Middle East was more costly than intervention

3/22/2006:  Iraq at year 3: To flee or not to flee ?

3/16/2006:  The Iraq war – what the blogs, Iraqi’s and real media tell us

3/7/2006:  The 'Iraq Model' as the basis of Arab and Islamic change

3/3/2006:  The sickening double standard of hate speech; prosecute anyone excepting Muslims

3/1/2006:  WMD did exist in Iraq and are now in Syria and beyond

2/27/2006:  Invade Iran and Syria, quell Iraq and annex parts of the Middle East

1/31/2006:  Oh what a surprise –the Palestinians actually DO support terrorism

1/21/2006:  Iraq and Iran: time to use our leverage to take out Iran and impose Western imperialism

1/11/2006:  Why killing Hussein would have been smarter

12/21/2005:  Iraq will be free - Eastern Europe speaks out why it supports the US

12/19/2005:  Islam's war on the West has been in motion since 622 AD

11/30/2005:  Liberals are right, we should leave Iraq, lose the war on terror and leave the world to the UNO

11/15/2005:  Remembrance Day: Do we really remember ?

11/3/2005:  Jihad hits Europe: Will the French give Land for Peace?

10/27/2005:  Iraq has a Constitution – so the war is obviously a failure

10/23/2005:  The Poverty of Arab culture and economy

10/9/2005:  The ugliness of Arab culture can be seen in Gaza, Palestine and Iraq

9/4/2005:  Success in Iraq, fighting a war, and charging people with treason

8/19/2005:  Once Iraq settles down, invade Iran

8/2/2005:  We need a Western Constitution in Iraq – not Islamic law

7/25/2005:  Nuclear Terrorism – the reality is frightening

7/19/2005:  The War on Terror is bloody and appeasement is not acceptable

6/27/2005:  Don’t Stop Now ! – Teheran and Damascus next stops

6/13/2005:  Iraq is the perfect place to wage the War on Terror

6/1/2005:  End is nigh for the Terrorists

3/25/2005:  An Expert Voice on Iraq

3/25/2005:  France Funds Terror

2/25/2005:  Why Iraq will be pacified

2/25/2005:  Iraq and Al-Qaeda links

2/25/2005:  Iraq, WMD and Colin Powel

2/25/2005:  Quagmire